Agent Lab — a live forecast exhibit · Applied AI
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Group G · EGY · outside top-16

Egypt

Strength
75.6
± 1.7
Attack
71.9
0–100
Defense
77.9
0–100
P(champion)
0.37%
1.3% reach final
Strength trajectory
75.9 → 75.5 · -0.4
2023-03-31 range 74.6–75.9 · 13 quarters 2026-03-31
Model and markets
Polymarket ↗ · Kalshi ↗
Our model
0.37%
to lift
Polymarket
0.1%
implied · +0.2pp
Kalshi
0.1%
implied · +0.2pp

Implied is de-vigged per venue (proportional normalization). Δ is the model minus that venue; when they disagree by more than ~2pp the direction is more interesting than either number alone. Snapshot 2026-06-13.

Tournament path (model baseline)
Group 1st
16.0%
R16
33.1%
Quarter
11.6%
Semi
3.9%
Final
1.3%

Squad

26 players · prior-season club data
Home venue
Cairo International Stadium
Cairo · 75,000 seats (WC avg 55,865; +19,135)
Age profile
mean 28.0 / WC 27.0
U-22 22–25 26–29 30–33 34+
Solid bars: this squad. Shaded behind: WC2026 average (1248 players).
GK Goalkeepers · 4
  • 1 Mohamed El Shenawy 37 yr
    Al Ahly · Premier League
    62 caps · 12 since 2024 (7.17rtg)
  • 23 Mostafa Shobeir 25 yr
    Al Ahly · Premier League
    7 caps · 7 since 2024 (7.299999999999999rtg)
  • 16 Al Mahdi Soliman 38 yr
    Zamalek SC · Premier League
+ 1 more in the broader pool
DEF Defenders · 9
  • 14 Hamdi Fathy 31 yr
    Al Wakrah · Stars League
    60 caps · 4G · 18 since 2024 (4G/0A · 6.200000000000001rtg)  |  club 1G · 7.26 rtg
  • 5 Rami Rabia 32 yr
    Al Ain · Pro League
    35 caps · 7G · 13 since 2024 (3G/1A · 7.55rtg)  |  club 1G · 7.19 rtg
  • 6 Mohamed Abdelmonem 26 yr
    Nice · Ligue 1
    35 caps · 3G · 8 since 2024 (1G/0A · 6.5rtg)
  • 13 Ahmed Fatouh 27 yr
    Zamalek SC · Premier League
    36 caps · 1G · 9 since 2024 (1G/1A · 6.2rtg)  |  club 1G · 3A · 7.01 rtg
  • 3 Mohamed Hany 29 yr
    Al Ahly · Premier League
    33 caps · 14 since 2024 (0G/3A · 6.3rtg)  |  club 0G · 5A · 7.06 rtg
  • 2 Yasser Ibrahim 32 yr
    Al Ahly · Premier League
    15 caps · 1G · 10 since 2024 (1G/0A · 6.9rtg)  |  club 2G · 7.11 rtg
  • 15 Karim Hafez 29 yr
    Pyramids FC · Premier League
    11 caps · 3 since 2024 (6.5rtg)  |  club 2G · 1A · 6.96 rtg
  • 4 Hossam Abdelmaguid 24 yr
    Zamalek SC · Premier League
    9 caps · 8 since 2024 (7.03rtg)  |  club 4G · 7.31 rtg
+ 1 more in the broader pool
MID Midfielders · 8
  • 7 Trézéguet 31 yr
    Al Ahly · Premier League
    86 caps · 22G · 17 since 2024 (5G/1A · 6.5rtg)  |  club 11G · 7.04 rtg
  • 19 Marwan Attia 27 yr
    Al Ahly · Premier League
    31 caps · 1G · 17 since 2024 (1G/2A · 7.2rtg)
  • 8 Emam Ashour 27 yr
    Al Ahly · Premier League
    28 caps · 12 since 2024 (0G/3A · 6.6rtg)  |  club 2G · 4A · 7.46 rtg
  • 17 Mohanad Lasheen 29 yr
    Pyramids FC · Premier League
    20 caps · 7 since 2024 (6.9rtg)  |  club 0G · 2A · 7.21 rtg
  • 21 Mahmoud Saber 24 yr
    Masr · Premier League
    9 caps · 8 since 2024 (6.91rtg)  |  club 5G · 6A · 7.13 rtg
  • 18 Nabil Emad Dunga 29 yr
    Al Najma · Pro League
    9 caps · 2 since 2024 (7.16rtg)
  • 11 Mostafa Zico 28 yr
    Pyramids FC · Premier League
    2 caps · 2G · 2 since 2024 (2G/0A · 7.0rtg)  |  club 6G · 2A · 6.59 rtg
  • 12 H. Hassan 23 yr
    Oviedo · La Liga
    4 caps · 4 since 2024 (6.3rtg)  |  club 0G · 3A · 6.81 rtg
ATT Attackers · 5
  • 10 Mohamed Salah Top scorer 33 yr
    Liverpool · Premier League
    80 caps · 62G · 11 since 2024 (6G/1A · 6.3rtg)  |  club 7G · 7A · 6.93 rtg
  • 22 Omar Marmoush 26 yr
    Manchester City · Premier League
    47 caps · 8G · 17 since 2024 (4G/0A · 6.3rtg)  |  club 3G · 3A · 6.7 rtg
  • 20 Ibrahim Adel 24 yr
    FC Nordsjaelland · Superliga
    23 caps · 2G · 13 since 2024 (2G/1A · 6.299999999999999rtg)  |  club 3G · 1A · 6.83 rtg
  • 9 H. Abdelkarim 17 yr
    —
    2 caps · 2 since 2024 (6.5rtg)
  • 25 Ahmed Zizo 30 yr
    —
Show full senior pool · 26 players ▾
GK · additional
  • 26 M. Alaa 26 yr
DEF · additional
  • 24 T. Alaa 23 yr
    Masr · 3c

Source: API-Football squad & player endpoints; portraits cached from media.api-sports.io. Caps & international goals from the 2024 senior cycle (2024-25 UEFA cycle). Roster reflects the broader senior pool — final WC2026 26-player squads arrive ~2026-06-02.

Recent form

last 6
L 1–2 @ BRA
W 1–0 vs Russia
D 0–0 @ ESP
W 4–0 @ KSA
L 0–0 v Nigeria
L 0–1 v SEN

Group fixtures

3 matches
Date Match P(EGY win) P(draw) Shape
2026-06-15 A vs Belgium (BEL) 19.8% 27.0%
2026-06-21 A vs New Zealand (NZL) 51.6% 31.4%
2026-06-26 H vs Iran (IRN) 30.7% 32.9%

Where the squad plays

22 of 26 with on-pitch minutes
Weighted strength
50.4/100
vs model strength -25.2
Top-5 leagues
16%
Unrated leagues
0%
League Country Players Minutes share Strength
Premier League Egypt 15 72.8% 40
Premier League England 2 9.8% 100
La Liga Spain 1 6.6% 95
Pro League Saudi-Arabia 1 3.1% 60
Pro League United-Arab-Emirates 1 2.8% 40
Stars League Qatar 1 2.6% 40
Superliga Denmark 1 2.1% 50

Source: API-Football squad & player-statistics endpoints, prior season. League strength is a curated 0–100 scale anchored at Premier League = 100; leagues marked unrated fall back to a low default and surface as a punch-list to extend the table.

Context

What the model can't see

The model reads past results only. Squad, club form, and availability are shown here alongside its numbers — sourced and dated. They do not move the forecast.

Squad snapshot

As of 2026-06-13 · 26 players in the latest club-form pull.

Squad club-strength runs -25.2 versus the model's rating — context for where results and squad quality diverge.

Availability

No current injury records in the latest feed.

Sources

4 verified outlets for Egypt (federation, native-language, English fallback). Any context cited here comes only from these.