Fixtures
Group stage, match by match
All 72 group-stage matches in kickoff order, with the model's pre-match win / draw / loss probabilities. Times are shown in your local timezone. Tap a row for the full score distribution and pre-match context — or open a group page for venue, form, and the shape of each result.
| Kickoff · your time | MD | Group | Match | P(H) | P(D) | P(A) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A | Mexico South Africa | 59.4% | 24.5% | 16.0% | |
| 1 | A | South Korea Czech Republic | 36.9% | 28.6% | 34.5% | |
| 2 | B | Canada Bosnia and Herzegovina | 53.0% | 24.3% | 22.6% | |
| 2 | D | United States Paraguay | 42.6% | 27.9% | 29.5% | |
| 3 | B | Qatar Switzerland | 12.4% | 18.6% | 68.4% | |
| 3 | C | Brazil Morocco | 46.0% | 32.0% | 22.0% | |
| 3 | C | Haiti Scotland | 15.6% | 21.4% | 62.7% | |
| 3 | D | Australia Turkey | 35.7% | 27.6% | 36.7% | |
| 4 | E | Germany Curaçao | 81.8% | 10.0% | 4.2% | |
| 4 | F | Netherlands Japan | 45.9% | 26.1% | 28.0% | |
| 4 | E | Ivory Coast Ecuador | 24.6% | 33.1% | 42.3% | |
| 4 | F | Sweden Tunisia | 41.3% | 29.6% | 29.1% | |
| 5 | H | Spain Cape Verde | 77.9% | 15.2% | 5.8% | |
| 5 | G | Belgium Egypt | 53.2% | 27.0% | 19.8% | |
| 5 | H | Saudi Arabia Uruguay | 13.2% | 27.1% | 59.6% | |
| 5 | G | Iran New Zealand | 56.5% | 28.1% | 15.3% | |
| 6 | I | France Senegal | 50.6% | 28.5% | 20.9% | |
| 6 | I | Iraq Norway | 16.6% | 24.9% | 58.4% | |
| 6 | J | Argentina Algeria | 63.2% | 22.8% | 13.8% | |
| 6 | J | Austria Jordan | 55.3% | 25.1% | 19.5% | |
| 7 | K | Portugal DR Congo | 65.3% | 22.4% | 12.1% | |
| 7 | L | England Croatia | 48.3% | 28.8% | 22.9% | |
| 7 | L | Ghana Panama | 40.2% | 28.6% | 31.2% | |
| 7 | K | Uzbekistan Colombia | 14.6% | 26.6% | 58.8% | |
| 8 | A | Czech Republic South Africa | 45.5% | 28.9% | 25.5% | |
| 8 | B | Switzerland Bosnia and Herzegovina | 59.0% | 23.4% | 17.4% | |
| 8 | B | Canada Qatar | 62.9% | 20.1% | 16.6% | |
| 8 | A | Mexico South Korea | 48.2% | 26.8% | 25.0% | |
| 9 | D | United States Australia | 41.5% | 26.9% | 31.6% | |
| 9 | C | Scotland Morocco | 21.4% | 31.1% | 47.4% | |
| 9 | C | Brazil Haiti | 82.7% | 9.8% | 3.6% | |
| 9 | D | Turkey Paraguay | 37.9% | 28.7% | 33.4% | |
| 10 | F | Netherlands Sweden | 52.8% | 23.4% | 23.7% | |
| 10 | E | Germany Ivory Coast | 56.4% | 23.8% | 19.7% | |
| 10 | E | Ecuador Curaçao | 72.5% | 19.7% | 7.4% | |
| 10 | F | Tunisia Japan | 24.3% | 30.5% | 45.1% | |
| 11 | H | Spain Saudi Arabia | 74.8% | 17.5% | 7.1% | |
| 11 | G | Belgium Iran | 51.2% | 26.2% | 22.5% | |
| 11 | H | Uruguay Cape Verde | 63.7% | 24.7% | 11.4% | |
| 11 | G | New Zealand Egypt | 17.0% | 31.4% | 51.6% | |
| 12 | J | Argentina Austria | 59.1% | 25.1% | 15.7% | |
| 12 | I | France Iraq | 70.2% | 20.5% | 9.0% | |
| 12 | I | Norway Senegal | 37.1% | 29.0% | 33.8% | |
| 12 | J | Jordan Algeria | 22.0% | 25.0% | 52.9% | |
| 13 | K | Portugal Uzbekistan | 63.6% | 23.3% | 12.9% | |
| 13 | L | England Ghana | 68.6% | 21.3% | 9.8% | |
| 13 | L | Panama Croatia | 14.3% | 22.0% | 63.4% | |
| 13 | K | Colombia DR Congo | 60.5% | 25.7% | 13.7% | |
| 14 | B | Bosnia and Herzegovina Qatar | 45.2% | 25.9% | 28.9% | |
| 14 | B | Canada Switzerland | 30.2% | 25.3% | 44.4% | |
| 14 | C | Morocco Haiti | 72.2% | 19.1% | 8.2% | |
| 14 | C | Scotland Brazil | 12.9% | 22.0% | 64.9% | |
| 14 | A | Mexico Czech Republic | 50.5% | 25.3% | 24.1% | |
| 14 | A | South Africa South Korea | 24.2% | 30.0% | 45.8% | |
| 15 | E | Curaçao Ivory Coast | 11.6% | 22.6% | 65.5% | |
| 15 | E | Ecuador Germany | 28.0% | 28.0% | 44.0% | |
| 15 | F | Japan Sweden | 41.7% | 27.0% | 31.3% | |
| 15 | F | Tunisia Netherlands | 18.2% | 25.8% | 55.9% | |
| 15 | D | Paraguay Australia | 32.2% | 32.5% | 35.4% | |
| 15 | D | United States Turkey | 42.8% | 23.8% | 33.3% | |
| 16 | I | Norway France | 22.7% | 25.2% | 52.0% | |
| 16 | I | Senegal Iraq | 53.0% | 29.6% | 17.4% | |
| 16 | H | Cape Verde Saudi Arabia | 30.0% | 33.5% | 36.5% | |
| 16 | H | Uruguay Spain | 22.9% | 28.3% | 48.8% | |
| 16 | G | Egypt Iran | 30.7% | 32.9% | 36.5% | |
| 16 | G | New Zealand Belgium | 8.2% | 18.6% | 72.7% | |
| 17 | L | Croatia Ghana | 57.5% | 25.2% | 17.2% | |
| 17 | L | Panama England | 7.8% | 17.8% | 73.8% | |
| 17 | K | Colombia Portugal | 32.8% | 28.3% | 38.8% | |
| 17 | K | DR Congo Uzbekistan | 31.5% | 34.2% | 34.2% | |
| 17 | J | Algeria Austria | 33.4% | 26.6% | 39.9% | |
| 17 | J | Jordan Argentina | 6.9% | 17.4% | 75.0% |
72 group-stage fixtures · 11–27 June 2026 (kickoff order). P(H) / P(D) / P(A) are the model's pre-match home-win, draw and away-win probabilities. For venue, recent form, and the goal-difference shape of each match, open its group page.