Group stage · Group F

Group F

Projected finishing order from 10 000 simulations — the group hasn't kicked off yet. Top two advance directly; the best eight third-placed teams across all groups also reach the round of 32. Standings appear here once matches are played.

Projected finish

Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Advance
Netherlands NED	50.3%	26.4%	14.8%	8.5%	45.4%
Japan JPN	24.1%	30.5%	26.2%	19.3%	29.6%
Sweden SWE	16.4%	25.3%	30.0%	28.4%	21.7%
Tunisia TUN	9.3%	17.9%	28.9%	43.9%	13.6%

Fixtures

Kickoff · your time	Match	P(H)	P(D)	P(A)	Shape	Venue
2026-06-14	Netherlands Japan	45.9%	26.1%	28.0%	NED lean blowout 15%	Arlington, United States
2026-06-15	Sweden Tunisia	41.3%	29.6%	29.1%	Toss-up	Guadalupe, Mexico
2026-06-20	Netherlands Sweden	52.8%	23.4%	23.7%	NED edge blowout 19%shock 24%	Houston, United States
2026-06-21	Tunisia Japan	24.3%	30.5%	45.1%	JPN lean	Guadalupe, Mexico
2026-06-25	Japan Sweden	41.7%	27.0%	31.3%	Toss-up	Arlington, United States
2026-06-25	Tunisia Netherlands	18.2%	25.8%	55.9%	NED edge blowout 17%shock 18%	Kansas City, United States

Last-5 form pips sit under each side ( win draw loss). Shape is the model's goal-difference distribution — tall centre = grinding draw, right-skew = home favourite, fat outer bars = blowout potential.