← Fixtures

Group L · PAN · outside top-16

Panama

Strength

70.1

± 1.6

Attack

70.0

0–100

Defense

69.8

0–100

P(champion)

0.01%

0.1% reach final

Strength trajectory

69.1 → 70.1 · +1.0

2023-03-31 range 69.0–70.5 · 13 quarters 2026-03-31

Model and markets

Polymarket ↗ · Kalshi ↗

Our model

0.01%

to lift

Polymarket

0.1%

implied · -0.0pp

Kalshi

0.1%

implied · -0.0pp

Implied is de-vigged per venue (proportional normalization). Δ is the model minus that venue; when they disagree by more than ~2pp the direction is more interesting than either number alone. Snapshot 2026-06-13.

Tournament path (model baseline)

Group 1st

2.8%

R16

6.5%

Quarter

1.6%

Semi

0.4%

Final

0.1%

Squad

26 players · prior-season club data

Home venue

Estadio Rommel Fernández

Panama City · 32,000 seats (WC avg 55,865; -23,865)

Age profile

mean 29.4 / WC 27.0

Solid bars: this squad. Shaded behind: WC2026 average (1248 players).

GK Goalkeepers · 3

1 L. Mejía 34 yr

Club Nacional · Primera División - Clausura

56 caps · 7 since 2024 (7.02rtg)
22 O. Mosquera 31 yr

Al-Fayha · Pro League

37 caps · 22 since 2024 (7.03rtg)
12 C. Samudio 31 yr

CD Marathon · Liga Nacional

8 caps · 1 since 2024

DEF Defenders · 10

15 É. Davis 34 yr

Vila Nova · Goiano - 1

99 caps · 9G · 19 since 2024 (2G/4A · 7.14rtg)
23 A. Murillo 29 yr

Marseille · Ligue 1

83 caps · 8G · 22 since 2024 (1G/5A · 7.16rtg) | club 2G · 1A · 6.71 rtg
4 F. Escobar 30 yr

Deportivo Saprissa · Primera División

88 caps · 2G · 17 since 2024 (1G/0A · 7.18rtg)
25 R. Miller 33 yr

—

48 caps · 2G · 10 since 2024 (2G/0A · 6.5rtg)
2 C. Blackman 27 yr

Slovan Bratislava · Super Liga

41 caps · 3G · 21 since 2024 (3G/0A · 6.98rtg) | club 1G · 4A · 7.0 rtg
16 A. Andrade 27 yr

Lask Linz · Bundesliga

43 caps · 1G · 12 since 2024 (1G/1A · 7.2rtg) | club 1G · 3A · 7.3 rtg
3 J. Córdoba 24 yr

Norwich · Championship

32 caps · 1G · 19 since 2024 (1G/1A · 6.63rtg) | club 1G · 1A · 6.93 rtg
13 J. Ramos 28 yr

Independiente de La Chorrera · Liga Panameña de Fútbol

20 caps · 1G · 9 since 2024 (1G/0A · 6.55rtg)

+ 2 more in the broader pool

MID Midfielders · 10

20 A. Godoy 35 yr

San Diego · Major League Soccer

148 caps · 4G · 19 since 2024 (4G/0A · 6.87rtg) | club 1G · 1A · 7.13 rtg
19 A. Quintero 38 yr

Plaza Amador · Liga Panameña de Fútbol

137 caps · 7G · 3 since 2024 (7G/0A · 6.8rtg) | club 1G
11 Y. Bárcenas 32 yr

Mazatlán · Liga MX

89 caps · 3G · 19 since 2024 (1G/2A · 6.91rtg) | club 3G · 1A · 6.83 rtg
8 A. Carrasquilla 27 yr

U.N.A.M. - Pumas · Liga MX

79 caps · 3G · 35 since 2024 (2G/3A · 7.04rtg) | club 2G · 6A · 6.92 rtg
7 J. Rodríguez Top minutes 27 yr

FC Juarez · Liga MX

65 caps · 6G · 21 since 2024 (4G/2A · 7.06rtg) | club 4G · 9A · 6.92 rtg
10 I. Díaz 28 yr

Leon · Liga MX

47 caps · 10G · 18 since 2024 (4G/0A · 6.95rtg) | club 10G · 6A · 6.92 rtg
21 C. Yanis 29 yr

Cobresal · Primera División

53 caps · 5G · 14 since 2024 (2G/0A · 6.97rtg) | club 1G · 4A · 7.12 rtg
14 C. Harvey 25 yr

Minnesota United FC · Major League Soccer

27 caps · 3G · 23 since 2024 (2G/1A · 7.02rtg) | club 2G · 1A · 7.0 rtg

+ 2 more in the broader pool

ATT Attackers · 3

18 C. Waterman Top scorer 34 yr

Coquimbo Unido · Copa Chile

72 caps · 24G · 40 since 2024 (14G/3A · 6.9rtg) | club 10G · 2A · 6.916 rtg
17 J. Fajardo 32 yr

Universidad Catolica · Liga Pro

72 caps · 17G · 28 since 2024 (7G/0A · 6.72rtg) | club 10G · 1A · 6.79 rtg
9 T. Rodríguez 26 yr

Monagas SC · Primera División

11 caps · 2G · 8 since 2024 (2G/0A · 6.98rtg)

Show full senior pool · 26 players ▾

DEF · additional

26 J. Gutiérrez 27 yr

Deportivo La Guaira · 18c
5 E. Fariña 24 yr

Nizhny Novgorod · 17c

MID · additional

24 A. Londoño 24 yr

Universidad Catolica · 12c/1g
6 C. Martinez 28 yr

Source: API-Football squad & player endpoints; portraits cached from media.api-sports.io. Caps & international goals from the 2024 senior cycle (2024-25 UEFA cycle). Roster reflects the broader senior pool — final WC2026 26-player squads arrive ~2026-06-02.

Recent form

last 6

D 1–1 vs BIH

W 4–2 vs Dominican Republic

L 2–6 @ BRA

W 2–1 @ RSA

D 1–1 @ RSA

L 0–1 vs MEX

Group fixtures

3 matches

Date	Match	P(PAN win)	P(draw)
2026-06-17	A vs Ghana (GHA)	31.2%	28.6%
2026-06-23	H vs Croatia (CRO)	14.3%	22.0%
2026-06-27	H vs England (ENG)	7.8%	17.8%

Where the squad plays

22 of 26 with on-pitch minutes

Weighted strength

50.3/100

vs model strength -19.8

Top-5 leagues

Unrated leagues

League	Country	Players	Minutes share	Strength
Liga MX	Mexico	4	27.4%	50
Major League Soccer	USA	2	10.2%	50
Liga Pro	Ecuador	2	9.3%	45
Pro League	Saudi-Arabia	1	7.9%	60
Bundesliga	Austria	1	7.4%	52
Championship	England	1	6.2%	55
Copa Chile	Chile	1	5.7%	50
Primera División	Chile	1	4.6%	50
Liga Panameña de Fútbol	Panama	2	4.2%	35
Super Liga	Slovakia	1	3.9%	40
Primera División	Venezuela	1	3.7%	38
Primera División - Clausura	Uruguay	1	3.4%	52
Premier League	Russia	1	3.0%	55
Ligue 1	France	1	2.7%	80
Liga Nacional	Honduras	1	0.2%	35
Primera División	Costa-Rica	1	0.2%	35

Source: API-Football squad & player-statistics endpoints, prior season. League strength is a curated 0–100 scale anchored at Premier League = 100; leagues marked unrated fall back to a low default and surface as a punch-list to extend the table.

Context

What the model can't see

The model reads past results only. Squad, club form, and availability are shown here alongside its numbers — sourced and dated. They do not move the forecast.

Squad snapshot

As of 2026-06-13 · 26 players in the latest club-form pull.

Squad club-strength runs -19.8 versus the model's rating — context for where results and squad quality diverge.

Availability

No current injury records in the latest feed.

Sources

4 verified outlets for Panama (federation, native-language, English fallback). Any context cited here comes only from these.

🇵🇦Panama

Squad

Recent form

Group fixtures

Where the squad plays

What the model can't see

Panama