Agent Lab — a live forecast exhibit · Applied AI
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Group L · GHA · outside top-16

Ghana

Strength
71.9
± 1.8
Attack
70.4
0–100
Defense
72.7
0–100
P(champion)
0.03%
0.2% reach final
Strength trajectory
72.9 → 71.9 · -1.0
2023-03-31 range 70.6–72.9 · 13 quarters 2026-03-31
Model and markets
Polymarket ↗ · Kalshi ↗
Our model
0.03%
to lift
Polymarket
0.1%
implied · -0.1pp
Kalshi
0.1%
implied · -0.1pp

Implied is de-vigged per venue (proportional normalization). Δ is the model minus that venue; when they disagree by more than ~2pp the direction is more interesting than either number alone. Snapshot 2026-06-13.

Tournament path (model baseline)
Group 1st
4.2%
R16
10.5%
Quarter
3.0%
Semi
0.8%
Final
0.2%

Squad

26 players · prior-season club data
Home venue
Baba Yara Stadium
Kumasi · 40,528 seats (WC avg 55,865; -15,337)
Age profile
mean 26.2 / WC 27.0
U-22 22–25 26–29 30–33 34+
Solid bars: this squad. Shaded behind: WC2026 average (1248 players).
GK Goalkeepers · 3
  • 1 L. Zigi 29 yr
    FC ST. Gallen · Super League
    27 caps · 9 since 2024 (6.75rtg)
  • 16 B. Asare 33 yr
    —
    4 caps · 2 since 2024 (6.97rtg)
  • 12 J. Anang 25 yr
    St Patrick's Athl. · Premier Division
    1 cap · 1 since 2024 (6.3rtg)
DEF Defenders · 9
  • 17 A. Baba 31 yr
    PAOK · Super League 1
    38 caps · 1G · 1 since 2024 (1G/0A · 6.2rtg)  |  club 2G · 2A · 6.85 rtg
  • 14 G. Mensah 27 yr
    Auxerre · Ligue 1
    35 caps · 10 since 2024 (6.85rtg)  |  club 0G · 2A · 6.84 rtg
  • 2 A. Seidu 26 yr
    Rennes · Ligue 1
    23 caps · 1G · 10 since 2024 (1G/0A · 7.03rtg)  |  club 0G · 1A · 6.88 rtg
  • 18 J. Opoku 27 yr
    Başakşehir · Süper Lig
    8 caps · 1G · 5 since 2024 (1G/0A · 6.73rtg)  |  club 0G · 1A · 6.85 rtg
  • 4 J. Adjetey 22 yr
    FC Basel 1893 · Super League
    7 caps · 6 since 2024 (6.44rtg)
  • 6 A. Mumin 28 yr
    Rayo Vallecano · La Liga
    5 caps · 3 since 2024 (6.45rtg)
  • 21 K. Peprah Oppong Top minutes 21 yr
    Nice · Ligue 1
    3 caps · 3 since 2024 (6.71rtg)  |  club 1G · 6.82 rtg
  • 26 M. Senaya 24 yr
    Auxerre · Ligue 1
    2 caps · 2 since 2024 (6.55rtg)  |  club 1G · 6.86 rtg
+ 1 more in the broader pool
MID Midfielders · 7
  • 5 T. Partey 32 yr
    Villarreal · La Liga
    60 caps · 13G · 18 since 2024 (13G/0A · 6.93rtg)
  • 7 A. Fatawu 21 yr
    Leicester · Championship
    29 caps · 3G · 10 since 2024 (1G/0A · 6.91rtg)  |  club 9G · 7A · 6.86 rtg
  • 15 E. Owusu 28 yr
    Auxerre · Ligue 1
    19 caps · 10 since 2024 (6.65rtg)
  • 3 Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi 19 yr
    FC Nordsjaelland · Superliga
    7 caps · 1G · 7 since 2024 (1G/0A · 6.56rtg)  |  club 2G · 6A · 7.08 rtg
  • 8 K. Sibo 27 yr
    Oviedo · La Liga
    5 caps · 5 since 2024 (6.55rtg)
  • 25 P. Adu 22 yr
    Plzen · Czech Liga
    5 caps · 5 since 2024 (6.45rtg)  |  club 7G · 1A · 6.83 rtg
  • 20 A. Boakye 25 yr
    Saint Etienne · Ligue 2
     |  club 5G · 9A · 7.13 rtg
ATT Attackers · 7
  • 9 J. Ayew Top scorer 34 yr
    Leicester · Championship
    91 caps · 31G · 12 since 2024 (4G/0A · 6.88rtg)  |  club 6G · 3A · 6.58 rtg
  • 19 I. Williams 31 yr
    Athletic Club · La Liga
    37 caps · 7G · 19 since 2024 (5G/1A · 7.12rtg)  |  club 3G · 6A · 6.6 rtg
  • 11 A. Semenyo 25 yr
    Bournemouth · Premier League
    30 caps · 3G · 9 since 2024 (3G/0A · 6.57rtg)  |  club 10G · 3A · 7.13 rtg
  • 22 K. Sulemana 23 yr
    Atalanta · Serie A
    29 caps · 5 since 2024 (6.61rtg)  |  club 2G · 1A · 6.74 rtg
  • 24 E. Nuamah 22 yr
    Lyon · Ligue 1
    19 caps · 4G · 8 since 2024 (4G/1A · 6.91rtg)
  • 13 C. Bonsu Baah 21 yr
    Al-Qadisiyah FC · Pro League
    7 caps · 7 since 2024 (6.86rtg)  |  club 3G · 12A · 7.26 rtg
  • 10 B. Thomas-Asante 27 yr
    Coventry · Championship
    7 caps · 6 since 2024 (6.62rtg)  |  club 13G · 4A · 6.88 rtg
Show full senior pool · 26 players ▾
DEF · additional
  • 23 D. Luckassen 30 yr

Source: API-Football squad & player endpoints; portraits cached from media.api-sports.io. Caps & international goals from the 2024 senior cycle (2024-25 UEFA cycle). Roster reflects the broader senior pool — final WC2026 26-player squads arrive ~2026-06-02.

Recent form

last 6
D 1–1 @ Wales
L 0–2 @ MEX
L 1–2 @ GER
L 1–5 @ AUT
L 0–1 @ KOR
L 0–2 @ JPN

Group fixtures

3 matches
Date Match P(GHA win) P(draw) Shape
2026-06-17 H vs Panama (PAN) 40.2% 28.6%
2026-06-23 A vs England (ENG) 9.8% 21.3%
2026-06-27 A vs Croatia (CRO) 17.2% 25.2%

Where the squad plays

25 of 26 with on-pitch minutes
Weighted strength
65.1/100
vs model strength -6.8
Top-5 leagues
37%
Unrated leagues
0%
League Country Players Minutes share Strength
Ligue 1 France 6 21.3% 80
Championship England 3 16.3% 55
La Liga Spain 4 10.0% 95
Super League Switzerland 2 9.1% 55
Premier Division Ireland 1 6.5% 40
Süper Lig Turkey 1 5.7% 60
Pro League Saudi-Arabia 1 5.5% 60
Superliga Denmark 1 5.4% 50
Ligue 2 France 1 5.1% 48
Super League 1 Greece 1 4.0% 55
Premier League England 1 3.7% 100
Czech Liga Czech-Republic 1 3.2% 48
1. Division Cyprus 1 2.2% 38
Serie A Italy 1 2.1% 88

Source: API-Football squad & player-statistics endpoints, prior season. League strength is a curated 0–100 scale anchored at Premier League = 100; leagues marked unrated fall back to a low default and surface as a punch-list to extend the table.

Context

What the model can't see

The model reads past results only. Squad, club form, and availability are shown here alongside its numbers — sourced and dated. They do not move the forecast.

Squad snapshot

As of 2026-06-13 · 26 players in the latest club-form pull.

Squad club-strength runs -6.8 versus the model's rating — context for where results and squad quality diverge.

Availability

No current injury records in the latest feed.

Sources

4 verified outlets for Ghana (federation, native-language, English fallback). Any context cited here comes only from these.