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Group J · JOR · outside top-16

Jordan

Strength

70.2

± 1.6

Attack

69.4

0–100

Defense

70.6

0–100

P(champion)

0.0%

0.1% reach final

Strength trajectory

68.5 → 70.3 · +1.8

2023-03-31 range 67.4–70.3 · 13 quarters 2026-03-31

Model and markets

Polymarket ↗ · Kalshi ↗

Our model

0.0%

to lift

Polymarket

0.1%

implied · -0.1pp

Kalshi

0.1%

implied · -0.1pp

Implied is de-vigged per venue (proportional normalization). Δ is the model minus that venue; when they disagree by more than ~2pp the direction is more interesting than either number alone. Snapshot 2026-06-13.

Tournament path (model baseline)

Group 1st

2.4%

R16

6.0%

Quarter

1.5%

Semi

0.3%

Final

0.1%

Squad

26 players · prior-season club data

Home venue

Amman International Stadium

ʿAmmān (Amman) · 25,000 seats (WC avg 55,865; -30,865)

Age profile

mean 27.3 / WC 27.0

Solid bars: this squad. Shaded behind: WC2026 average (1248 players).

GK Goalkeepers · 3

1 Yazid Abu Layla 32 yr

—

56 caps · 28 since 2024 (6.8283582089552235rtg)
22 Abdallah Al Fakhouri 25 yr

—

4 caps · 2 since 2024 (6.9rtg)
12 Noureddin Zaid 32 yr

—

1 cap

DEF Defenders · 10

5 Yazan Al Arab 29 yr

FC Seoul · K League 1

64 caps · 3G · 24 since 2024 (1G/0A · 6.1716417910447765rtg) | club 0G · 1A · 6.88 rtg
23 Ehsan Haddad 31 yr

—

64 caps · 1G · 17 since 2024 (1G/0A · 6.161788617886178rtg)
3 Abdallah Naseeb 31 yr

—

48 caps · 1G · 20 since 2024 (1G/0A · 6.2rtg)
20 Mohannad Abu Taha 22 yr

—

19 caps · 19 since 2024 (5.996774193548387rtg)
16 M. Abualnadi 24 yr

—

14 caps · 14 since 2024 (6.97rtg)
17 Saleem Obaid 33 yr

—

8 caps · 8 since 2024 (6.9584269662921345rtg)
19 Saed Al Rosan 28 yr

—

7 caps · 6 since 2024
2 M. Abu Hasheesh 30 yr

—

+ 2 more in the broader pool

MID Midfielders · 7

10 Mousa Tamari Top minutes 28 yr

Rennes · Ligue 1

68 caps · 12G · 24 since 2024 (2G/4A · 6.866037735849056rtg) | club 6G · 6A · 6.9 rtg
8 Noor Al Rawabdeh 28 yr

—

50 caps · 4G · 18 since 2024 (2G/1A · 6.42520325203252rtg)
14 Rajaei Ayed 32 yr

—

42 caps · 10 since 2024 (6.57rtg)
21 Nizar Al Rashdan 26 yr

Qatar SC · Stars League

34 caps · 2G · 23 since 2024 (2G/0A · 6.085981308411215rtg) | club 0G · 1A · 6.99 rtg
6 Amer Jamous 23 yr

—

9 caps · 9 since 2024 (6.55rtg)
15 Ibrahim Sa'deh 25 yr

—
25 M. Al Daoud 33 yr

—

ATT Attackers · 6

9 Ali Olwan Top scorer 25 yr

Al-Sailiya · Stars League

49 caps · 14G · 20 since 2024 (7G/1A · 6.348351648351649rtg)
13 Mahmoud Al Mardi 32 yr

Dibba Al-Fujairah · Pro League

58 caps · 8G · 21 since 2024 (1G/4A · 7.03rtg)
7 Mohammed Abu Zurayq 28 yr

—

28 caps · 1G · 10 since 2024 (1G/0A · 6.42rtg)
18 Ibrahim Sabra 20 yr

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb · HNL

5 caps · 5 since 2024 (6.45rtg) | club 2G · 1A · 6.69 rtg
24 A. Azaizeh 21 yr

Al Shabab · Pro League

2 caps · 2 since 2024 (6.6rtg) | club 2G · 1A · 6.73 rtg
11 O. Al Fakhouri 19 yr

—

Show full senior pool · 26 players ▾

DEF · additional

4 H. Abu Al Dahab 25 yr
26 A. Badawi 28 yr

Source: API-Football squad & player endpoints; portraits cached from media.api-sports.io. Caps & international goals from the 2024 senior cycle (2024-25 UEFA cycle). Roster reflects the broader senior pool — final WC2026 26-player squads arrive ~2026-06-02.

Recent form

last 6

L 0–2 @ COL

L 1–4 @ SUI

D 2–2 v Nigeria

D 2–2 v Costa Rica

L 2–3 v MAR

W 1–0 v KSA

Group fixtures

3 matches

Date	Match	P(JOR win)	P(draw)
2026-06-16	A vs Austria (AUT)	19.5%	25.1%
2026-06-22	H vs Algeria (ALG)	22.0%	25.0%
2026-06-27	H vs Argentina (ARG)	6.9%	17.4%

Where the squad plays

7 of 26 with on-pitch minutes

Weighted strength

61.5/100

vs model strength -8.7

Top-5 leagues

37%

Unrated leagues

League	Country	Players	Minutes share	Strength
Ligue 1	France	1	36.5%	80
K League 1	South-Korea	1	25.1%	52
Stars League	Qatar	2	15.0%	40
HNL	Croatia	1	11.7%	55
Pro League	Saudi-Arabia	1	10.5%	60
Pro League	United-Arab-Emirates	1	1.3%	40

Source: API-Football squad & player-statistics endpoints, prior season. League strength is a curated 0–100 scale anchored at Premier League = 100; leagues marked unrated fall back to a low default and surface as a punch-list to extend the table.

Context

What the model can't see

The model reads past results only. Squad, club form, and availability are shown here alongside its numbers — sourced and dated. They do not move the forecast.

Squad snapshot

As of 2026-06-13 · 26 players in the latest club-form pull.

Squad club-strength runs -8.7 versus the model's rating — context for where results and squad quality diverge.

Availability

No current injury records in the latest feed.

Sources

5 verified outlets for Jordan (federation, native-language, English fallback). Any context cited here comes only from these.

🇯🇴Jordan

Squad

Recent form

Group fixtures

Where the squad plays

What the model can't see

Jordan