← Fixtures

Group B · SUI

Switzerland

Strength

80.1

± 1.7

Attack

80.2

0–100

Defense

78.5

0–100

P(champion)

1.67%

4.4% reach final

Strength trajectory

80.1 → 80.2 · +0.1

2023-03-31 range 78.7–80.2 · 13 quarters 2026-03-31

Model and markets

Polymarket ↗ · Kalshi ↗

Our model

1.67%

to lift

Polymarket

1.3%

implied · +0.3pp

Kalshi

0.9%

implied · +0.8pp

Implied is de-vigged per venue (proportional normalization). Δ is the model minus that venue; when they disagree by more than ~2pp the direction is more interesting than either number alone. Snapshot 2026-06-13.

Tournament path (model baseline)

Group 1st

51.8%

R16

57.1%

Quarter

25.9%

Semi

10.8%

Final

4.4%

Squad

26 players · prior-season club data

Home venue

St. Jakob-Park

Basel · 38,512 seats (WC avg 55,865; -17,353)

Age profile

mean 27.4 / WC 27.0

Solid bars: this squad. Shaded behind: WC2026 average (1248 players).

GK Goalkeepers · 3

1 G. Kobel 28 yr

Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga

21 caps · 16 since 2024 (6.3rtg)
12 Y. Mvogo 31 yr

Lorient · Ligue 1

13 caps · 7 since 2024 (7.32rtg)
21 M. Keller 23 yr

BSC Young Boys · Super League

1 cap · 1 since 2024 (6.2rtg)

DEF Defenders · 8

13 R. Rodríguez 33 yr

Real Betis · La Liga

131 caps · 8G · 26 since 2024 (8G/2A · 6.639473684210527rtg) | club 0G · 1A · 6.67 rtg
5 M. Akanji 30 yr

Inter · Serie A

77 caps · 4G · 25 since 2024 (1G/0A · 6.605rtg) | club 2G · 7.15 rtg
3 S. Widmer 32 yr

FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga

61 caps · 5G · 22 since 2024 (2G/1A · 6.237719298245613rtg) | club 2G · 1A · 6.81 rtg
4 N. Elvedi 29 yr

Borussia Mönchengladbach · Bundesliga

61 caps · 3G · 18 since 2024 (2G/0A · 7.183620689655172rtg) | club 0G · 2A · 7.03 rtg
18 E. Cömert 27 yr

Valencia · La Liga

22 caps · 9 since 2024 (6.971052631578947rtg) | club 2G · 1A · 6.77 rtg
2 M. Muheim 27 yr

Hamburger SV · Bundesliga

11 caps · 1G · 11 since 2024 (1G/3A · 6.8478260869565215rtg) | club 0G · 4A · 6.96 rtg
24 A. Amenda 22 yr

Eintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga

7 caps · 7 since 2024 (7.2rtg)
25 L. Jaquez 22 yr

VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga

3 caps · 3 since 2024 (6.6rtg) | club 0G · 1A · 6.82 rtg

MID Midfielders · 9

10 G. Xhaka Top minutes 33 yr

Sunderland · Premier League

143 caps · 18G · 26 since 2024 (4G/2A · 7.54857142857143rtg) | club 1G · 6A · 7.32 rtg
8 R. Freuler 33 yr

Bologna · Serie A

84 caps · 10G · 26 since 2024 (2G/5A · 6.744354838709677rtg) | club 1G · 2A · 6.92 rtg
6 D. Zakaria 29 yr

Monaco · Ligue 1

58 caps · 1G · 14 since 2024 (1G/0A · 6.8109375rtg) | club 2G · 1A · 6.86 rtg
11 D. Ndoye 25 yr

Nottingham Forest · Premier League

32 caps · 9G · 25 since 2024 (9G/3A · 7.85rtg) | club 1G · 1A · 6.63 rtg
15 D. Sow 28 yr

Sevilla · La Liga

49 caps · 12 since 2024 (0G/1A · 6.5375rtg) | club 5G · 4A · 6.77 rtg
20 M. Aebischer 28 yr

Pisa · Serie A

41 caps · 2G · 25 since 2024 (2G/4A · 6.772641509433963rtg) | club 1G · 2A · 6.91 rtg
16 C. Fassnacht 32 yr

BSC Young Boys · Super League

22 caps · 5G · 5 since 2024 (2G/0A · 7.3962962962962955rtg) | club 18G · 7A · 7.04 rtg
22 F. Rieder 23 yr

FC Augsburg · Bundesliga

28 caps · 1G · 24 since 2024 (1G/3A · 6.3rtg) | club 6G · 3A · 6.88 rtg

+ 1 more in the broader pool

ATT Attackers · 6

7 B. Embolo Top scorer 28 yr

Rennes · Ligue 1

80 caps · 23G · 23 since 2024 (11G/1A · 7.02rtg) | club 9G · 3A · 6.71 rtg
17 R. Vargas 27 yr

Sevilla · La Liga

58 caps · 9G · 21 since 2024 (3G/6A · 7.06rtg) | club 3G · 6A · 6.74 rtg
23 Z. Amdouni 25 yr

Burnley · Premier League

30 caps · 11G · 19 since 2024 (5G/0A · 6.9rtg)
19 N. Okafor 25 yr

Leeds · Premier League

32 caps · 2G · 13 since 2024 (2G/1A · 6.5rtg) | club 8G · 1A · 6.93 rtg
26 C. Itten 29 yr

Fortuna Düsseldorf · 2. Bundesliga

16 caps · 5G · 4 since 2024 (5G/0A · 6.688888888888889rtg) | club 15G · 3A · 7.01 rtg
9 J. Manzambi 20 yr

SC Freiburg · Bundesliga

13 caps · 3G · 13 since 2024 (3G/1A · 7.016379310344829rtg) | club 5G · 4A · 7.21 rtg

Show full senior pool · 26 players ▾

MID · additional

14 A. Jashari 23 yr

AC Milan · 9c

Source: API-Football squad & player endpoints; portraits cached from media.api-sports.io. Caps & international goals from the 2024 senior cycle (2024-25 UEFA cycle). Roster reflects the broader senior pool — final WC2026 26-player squads arrive ~2026-06-02.

Recent form

last 6

D 1–1 vs AUS

W 4–1 vs JOR

D 0–0 @ NOR

L 3–4 vs GER

D 1–1 @ Kosovo

W 4–1 vs SWE

Group fixtures

3 matches

Date	Match	P(SUI win)	P(draw)
2026-06-13	A vs Qatar (QAT)	68.4%	18.6%
2026-06-18	H vs Bosnia and Herzegovina (BIH)	59.0%	23.4%
2026-06-24	A vs Canada (CAN)	44.4%	25.3%

Where the squad plays

26 of 26 with on-pitch minutes

Weighted strength

84.5/100

vs model strength +4.4

Top-5 leagues

84%

Unrated leagues

League	Country	Players	Minutes share	Strength
Bundesliga	Germany	8	32.4%	90
Serie A	Italy	4	16.2%	88
La Liga	Spain	4	12.5%	95
Ligue 1	France	3	12.5%	80
Super League	Switzerland	2	10.8%	55
Premier League	England	4	10.7%	100
2. Bundesliga	Germany	1	4.9%	52

Source: API-Football squad & player-statistics endpoints, prior season. League strength is a curated 0–100 scale anchored at Premier League = 100; leagues marked unrated fall back to a low default and surface as a punch-list to extend the table.

Context

What the model can't see

The model reads past results only. Squad, club form, and availability are shown here alongside its numbers — sourced and dated. They do not move the forecast.

Squad snapshot

As of 2026-06-13 · 26 players in the latest club-form pull.

Squad club-strength runs +4.4 versus the model's rating — context for where results and squad quality diverge.

Availability

No current injury records in the latest feed.

Sources