Group J · Matchday 6 · 2026-06-16
Austria vs Jordan
Santa Clara, United States · neutral venue
Most likely scoreline
1–0
14.6%
55.7%
AUT win
25.0%
Draw
19.3%
JOR win
Top scorelines
- 1–0 14.6%
- 0–0 11.8%
- 2–0 10.8%
- 1–1 9.7%
Total goals
0 to 10 goals · most likely → tallest
Last 5 — AUT
GF / GA last 10: 27 / 4
Last 5 — JOR
GF / GA last 10: 19 / 16
Head-to-head (last 5)
No prior meetings in the dataset.
▸ Full score grid (7×7)
P(home goals × away goals), %
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
11.8
7.8
3.1
1.0
0.3
0.1
0.0
1
14.6
9.7
3.9
1.2
0.3
0.1
0.0
2
10.8
7.2
2.9
0.9
0.2
0.1
0.0
3
6.3
4.2
1.7
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
4
3.1
2.1
0.8
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
1.4
0.9
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
6
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows = AUT goals; columns = JOR goals. Above-diagonal cells are home wins; diagonal = draws; below = away wins. Truncated at 6 — the joint mass past that is < 1 %.
Expected goals (Poisson rate, λ)
1.65
AUT
0.77
JOR
Independent-Poisson rates. W/D/L and the score grid integrate the full 13×13 joint under these two parameters.
News context — injuries, suspensions, projected XI — is not part of the model, which sees only past results.