Group L · Matchday 7 · 2026-06-17
Ghana vs Panama
Toronto, Canada · neutral venue
Most likely scoreline
0–0
13.7%
40.4%
GHA win
28.6%
Draw
31.0%
PAN win
Top scorelines
- 0–0 13.7%
- 1–0 13.3%
- 0–1 11.4%
- 1–1 11.0%
Total goals
0 to 10 goals · most likely → tallest
Last 5 — GHA
GF / GA last 10: 14 / 13
Last 5 — PAN
GF / GA last 10: 15 / 14
Head-to-head (last 5)
No prior meetings in the dataset.
▸ Full score grid (7×7)
P(home goals × away goals), %
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
13.7
11.4
5.7
2.2
0.7
0.2
0.1
1
13.3
11.0
5.5
2.1
0.7
0.2
0.1
2
7.8
6.4
3.2
1.2
0.4
0.1
0.0
3
3.5
2.9
1.5
0.6
0.2
0.1
0.0
4
1.4
1.1
0.6
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.5
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
6
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows = GHA goals; columns = PAN goals. Above-diagonal cells are home wins; diagonal = draws; below = away wins. Truncated at 6 — the joint mass past that is < 1 %.
Expected goals (Poisson rate, λ)
1.21
GHA
0.99
PAN
Independent-Poisson rates. W/D/L and the score grid integrate the full 13×13 joint under these two parameters.
News context — injuries, suspensions, projected XI — is not part of the model, which sees only past results.