Group B · Matchday 8 · 2026-06-18
Switzerland vs Bosnia and Herzegovina
Inglewood, United States · neutral venue
Most likely scoreline
1–0
14.0%
59.6%
SUI win
23.1%
Draw
17.1%
BIH win
Top scorelines
- 1–0 14.0%
- 2–0 11.2%
- 0–0 10.4%
- 1–1 9.1%
Total goals
0 to 10 goals · most likely → tallest
Last 5 — SUI
GF / GA last 10: 25 / 7
Last 5 — BIH
GF / GA last 10: 20 / 11
Head-to-head (last 5)
- 2016-03-29 Switzerland 0–2 Bosnia and Herzegovina
▸ Full score grid (7×7)
P(home goals × away goals), %
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
10.4
6.8
2.7
0.8
0.2
0.1
0.0
1
14.0
9.1
3.6
1.1
0.3
0.1
0.0
2
11.2
7.3
2.9
0.9
0.2
0.1
0.0
3
7.0
4.6
1.8
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
4
3.7
2.5
1.0
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
1.8
1.2
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
6
0.8
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows = SUI goals; columns = BIH goals. Above-diagonal cells are home wins; diagonal = draws; below = away wins. Truncated at 6 — the joint mass past that is < 1 %.
Expected goals (Poisson rate, λ)
1.83
SUI
0.75
BIH
Independent-Poisson rates. W/D/L and the score grid integrate the full 13×13 joint under these two parameters.
News context — injuries, suspensions, projected XI — is not part of the model, which sees only past results.