Group J · Matchday 12 · 2026-06-22
Jordan vs Algeria
Santa Clara, United States · neutral venue
Most likely scoreline
0–1
13.2%
22.6%
JOR win
25.0%
Draw
52.3%
ALG win
Top scorelines
- 0–1 13.2%
- 0–0 10.8%
- 1–1 10.0%
- 0–2 9.7%
Total goals
0 to 10 goals · most likely → tallest
Last 5 — JOR
GF / GA last 10: 19 / 16
Last 5 — ALG
GF / GA last 10: 23 / 5
Head-to-head (last 5)
- 2004-05-30 Algeria 1–1 Jordan
- 1974-09-29 Algeria 6–0 Jordan
▸ Full score grid (7×7)
P(home goals × away goals), %
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
10.8
13.2
9.7
5.5
2.7
1.2
0.5
1
8.2
10.0
7.3
4.2
2.1
0.9
0.4
2
3.7
4.6
3.3
1.9
0.9
0.4
0.2
3
1.3
1.6
1.2
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.1
4
0.4
0.5
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
6
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows = JOR goals; columns = ALG goals. Above-diagonal cells are home wins; diagonal = draws; below = away wins. Truncated at 6 — the joint mass past that is < 1 %.
Expected goals (Poisson rate, λ)
0.89
JOR
1.62
ALG
Independent-Poisson rates. W/D/L and the score grid integrate the full 13×13 joint under these two parameters.
News context — injuries, suspensions, projected XI — is not part of the model, which sees only past results.