Group J · Matchday 17 · 2026-06-27
Jordan vs Argentina
Arlington, United States · neutral venue
Most likely scoreline
0–1
15.3%
6.7%
JOR win
17.0%
Draw
75.5%
ARG win
Top scorelines
- 0–1 15.3%
- 0–2 14.8%
- 0–3 11.2%
- 0–0 9.5%
Total goals
0 to 10 goals · most likely → tallest
Last 5 — JOR
GF / GA last 10: 19 / 16
Last 5 — ARG
GF / GA last 10: 25 / 4
Head-to-head (last 5)
No prior meetings in the dataset.
▸ Full score grid (7×7)
P(home goals × away goals), %
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
9.5
15.3
14.8
11.2
7.2
4.2
2.3
1
3.7
5.9
5.8
4.3
2.8
1.6
0.9
2
0.9
1.4
1.3
1.0
0.7
0.4
0.2
3
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
4
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
6
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows = JOR goals; columns = ARG goals. Above-diagonal cells are home wins; diagonal = draws; below = away wins. Truncated at 6 — the joint mass past that is < 1 %.
Expected goals (Poisson rate, λ)
0.42
JOR
2.39
ARG
Independent-Poisson rates. W/D/L and the score grid integrate the full 13×13 joint under these two parameters.
News context — injuries, suspensions, projected XI — is not part of the model, which sees only past results.