Group J · JOR
· outside top-16
Jordan
Strength
70.0
± 1.6
Attack
69.3
0–100
Defense
70.5
0–100
P(champion)
0.01%
0.1% reach final
Model and markets
Polymarket ↗ · Kalshi ↗
Our model
0.01%
to lift
Polymarket
0.1%
implied · -0.0pp
Kalshi
0.1%
implied · -0.0pp
Implied is de-vigged per venue (proportional normalization). Δ is the model minus that venue; when they disagree by more than ~2pp the direction is more interesting than either number alone. Snapshot 2026-05-27.
Tournament path (model baseline)
Group 1st
2.4%
R16
6.0%
Quarter
1.6%
Semi
0.4%
Final
0.1%
Recent form
last 6
L
1–4
@
SUI
D
2–2
v
Nigeria
D
2–2
v
Costa Rica
L
2–3
v
MAR
W
1–0
v
KSA
W
1–0
v
IRQ
Group fixtures
3 matches| Date | Match | P(JOR win) | P(draw) | Shape |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-16 | A vs Austria (AUT) | 19.3% | 25.0% | |
| 2026-06-22 | H vs Algeria (ALG) | 22.6% | 25.0% | |
| 2026-06-27 | H vs Argentina (ARG) | 6.7% | 17.0% |
Context
What the model can't see
The model reads past results only. Squad, club form, and availability are shown here alongside its numbers — sourced and dated. They do not move the forecast.
Squad snapshot
No squad snapshot on file yet.
Availability
Injury feed pending.
Sources
5 verified outlets for Jordan (federation, native-language, English fallback). Any context cited here comes only from these.