Group B · SUI
Switzerland
Strength
80.0
± 1.7
Attack
80.2
0–100
Defense
78.6
0–100
P(champion)
1.79%
4.5% reach final
Model and markets
Polymarket ↗ · Kalshi ↗
Our model
1.79%
to lift
Polymarket
1.2%
implied · +0.6pp
Kalshi
0.9%
implied · +0.9pp
Implied is de-vigged per venue (proportional normalization). Δ is the model minus that venue; when they disagree by more than ~2pp the direction is more interesting than either number alone. Snapshot 2026-05-27.
Tournament path (model baseline)
Group 1st
51.8%
R16
57.1%
Quarter
25.8%
Semi
10.9%
Final
4.5%
Recent form
last 6
W
4–1
vs
JOR
D
0–0
@
NOR
L
3–4
vs
GER
D
1–1
@
Kosovo
W
4–1
vs
SWE
D
0–0
@
Slovenia
Group fixtures
3 matches| Date | Match | P(SUI win) | P(draw) | Shape |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-13 | A vs Qatar (QAT) | 68.8% | 18.4% | |
| 2026-06-18 | H vs Bosnia and Herzegovina (BIH) | 59.6% | 23.1% | |
| 2026-06-24 | A vs Canada (CAN) | 44.8% | 25.2% |
Context
What the model can't see
The model reads past results only. Squad, club form, and availability are shown here alongside its numbers — sourced and dated. They do not move the forecast.
Squad snapshot
No squad snapshot on file yet.
Availability
Injury feed pending.
Sources
5 verified outlets for Switzerland (federation, native-language, English fallback). Any context cited here comes only from these.